GCR's Rating Scales and Definitions
Special note: Note that GCR accords both National and International scale ratings and clearly specifies which currency obligations are being rated on the front page of each rating report. An explanation of the difference between an international foreign currency (or “International Scale”) rating and a domestic local currency (“or “National Scale”) rating is summarised below:
 
International Scale Ratings

International foreign currency ratings effectively benchmark credit quality off US Government risk, and measure the ability of an organisation to service foreign currency obligations. In this regard, typically no organisation or debt issue in a country can be rated higher than the country's “sovereign risk rating”. However, exceptions can arise; particularly in the case of structured finance transactions (if there is an opportunity to pierce the sovereign cap, e.g. by trapping foreign currency offshore).

National Scale Ratings

The domestic local currency ratings assigned by GCR are tiered against an assumed “best possible” (usually central government) rating of ‘AAA' in each country and, therefore, do not incorporate the sovereign risks of a country. Such ratings are designed to give an indication of the relative risks only within a specific country and are not comparable across different countries. Accordingly, a Zimbabwe Dollar rating accorded to a Zimbabwean organisation is not comparable to a South African Rand rating accorded to a South African organisation.

The rating methodologies and rating scales utilised in the accordance of both types of ratings are very similar, but the key difference is that one scale measures the probability of default on FOREIGN CURRENCY obligations (taking into account all sovereign risk and currency conversion considerations), while the other measures the probability of default on LOCAL CURRENCY obligations. It stands to reason that, particularly in emerging markets such as Africa, there is a far higher probability of default with regards to the former.

SHORT TERM DEBT RATING SCALE:

GCR's Rating Symbols and Definitions Summary

A short term debt rating rates an organisation's general unsecured creditworthiness over the short term (i.e. over a 12 month period). Such a rating provides an indication of the probability of default on any unsecured short term debt obligations, including commercial paper, bank borrowings, BA's and NCD's.

High Grade
A1+ Highest certainty of timely payment. Short-term liquidity, including internal operating factors and/or access to alternative sources of funds is outstanding, and safety is just below that of risk-free treasury bills.
A1 Very high certainty of timely payment. Liquidity factors are excellent and supported by good fundamental protection factors. Risk factors are minor.
A1- High certainty of timely payment. Liquidity factors are strong and supported by good fundamental protection factors. Risk factors are very small.

Good Grade
A2 Good certainty of timely payment. Liquidity factors and company fundamentals are sound. Although ongoing funding needs may enlarge total financing requirements, access to capital markets is good. Risk factors are small.
Satisfactory Grade
A3 Satisfactory liquidity and other protection factors qualify issues as to investment grade. However, risk factors are larger and subject to more variation.
Non-Investment Grade
B Speculative investment characteristics. Liquidity is not sufficient to insure against disruption in debt service. Operating factors and market access may be subject to a high degree of variation.
Default
C Issuer failed to meet scheduled principal or interest payments.

LONG TERM DEBT RATING SCALE:

GCR's Rating Symbols and Definitions Summary

A long term debt rating rates the probability of default on specific long term debt instruments over the life of the issue. It is possible that different issues by a single issuer could be accorded different ratings, depending on the underlying characteristics of each issue (e.g. is it a senior or a subordinated debt instrument, is it secured or unsecured and, if secured, what is the nature of the security).

Investment Grade
AAA

Highest credit quality. The risk factors are negligible, being only slightly more than for risk free government bonds.

AA+
AA
AA-

Very high credit quality. Protection factors are very strong. Adverse changes in business, economic or financial conditions would increase investment risk although not significantly.

A+
A
A-

High credit quality. Protection factors are good. However, risk factors are more variable and greater in periods of economic stress.

BBB+
BBB
BBB-
Adequate protection factors and considered sufficient for prudent investment. However, there is considerable variability in risk during economic cycles.

Non - Investment Grade
BB+
BB
BB-

Below investment grade but capacity for timely repayment exists. Present or prospective financial protection factors fluctuate according to industry conditions or company fortunes. Overall quality may move up or down frequently within this category.

B+
B
B-

Below investment grade and possessing risk that obligations will not be met when due. Financial protection factors will fluctuate widely according to economic cycles, industry conditions and/or company fortunes.

CCC Well below investment grade securities. Considerable uncertainty exists as to timely payment of principal or interest. Protection factors are narrow and risk can be substantial with unfavourable economic/industry conditions, and/or with unfavourable company developments.
DD

Defaulted debt obligations. Issuer failed to meet scheduled principal and/or Interest payments.

CLAIMS PAYING ABILITY RATING SCALE:

GCR's Rating Symbols and Definitions Summary

Such ratings are exclusively accorded to insurance/reinsurance companies and rate the probability of timeously honouring policyholder obligations over the medium term (i.e. over the next 2 to 3 years)

AAA

Highest claims paying ability. The risk factors are negligible.

AA+
AA
AA-

Very high claims paying ability. Protection factors are strong. Risk is modest, but may vary slightly over time due to economic and/or underwriting conditions. 

A+
A
A-
High claims paying ability. Protection factors are above average although there is an expectation of variability in risk over time due to economic and/or underwriting conditions.
BBB+
BBB
BBB-
Adequate claims paying ability. Protection factors are adequate although there is considerable variability in risk over time due to economic and/or underwriting conditions.
BB+
BB
BB-
Moderate claims paying ability. The ability of these organisations to discharge obligations is considered moderate and thereby not well safeguarded in the event of adverse future changes in economic and/or underwriting conditions.
B+
B
B-
Possessing substantial risk that policyholder and contract-holder obligations will not be paid when due. Judged to be speculative to a high degree.
CCC Company has been, or is likely to be, placed under an order of the court.

 

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